Tallulah Gorge, formed in part by years of rushing water of the Tallulah River in scenic North Georgia, is a marvel of God’s creation. As we strolled the 600 feet or so that separate the canyon’s South rim from the State Park Visitors Center, my wife and I reflected on the historic traverse of the gorge on a high wire by the Great Karl Wallenda almost 40 years earlier. On July 18, 1970 at age 65, amidst tremendous fanfare and expansive press coverage Wallenda walked the 1200 feet between two concrete piers supporting the one inch cable, stopping two times during the journey to perform head stands. Only 8 years earlier, he had been the central performer in an unsuccessful attempt by 7 members of the Wallenda family to walk the high wire as a three level pyramid group. The fall they took that day killed two family members, severely injured Karl and rendered his son, Mario, paralyzed from the waist down. Less than eight years, after his successful high wire walk before 30,000 in Georgia, Karl Wallenda fell to his death in San Juan, Puerto Rico, attempting to walk a wire between two towers of a hotel 121 feet above the ground without a net, as was always his modis operandi.
Upon reaching the gorge we saw a fallen, or pushed over, concrete pier that held one end of the wire on which Wallenda walked on that hot July day. It served as a monument to the great accomplishment, but was also an eerie reminder of the fate that befell him on March 22, 1978 in Puerto Rico. His family contends that his death was not caused by inexperience, advanced age, diminished physical ability or the 30 mph winds that swirled around him, but by the improperly attached connection of three guy ropes critical to providing stability to the main wire.
As we stood on the platform that allowed us to see the rushing stream 1000 feet below and the fallen pier over our shoulder, we reflected on that day, 38 years ago, and its connection, albeit obtuse, to our economic plight of 2008 and beyond. Today, our Nation is walking an economic high wire. It’s hard to say how far across it we are, how deep is the chasm below, how stiff the winds are blowing and how skillful those are who are guiding our journey. Sometimes it seems as though they are blindfolded and have forgotten the balance pole so necessary to maintaining stability against all the forces that work against the success of the mission.
We do know that through pervasive stupidity, unquestionable non-feasance, probable malfeasance, unmitigated hubris and personal greed many of our elected officials have sold us down the financial river. Many of them rightfully reside in or are on the fast track to the pokey. Many corporate bigwigs have used company funds for their own personal gain and mismanaged the company treasury. Some, like Bernie Madoff, have committed outright fraud and massive deception. And finally, individuals have borrowed and spent like drunken sailors in a port of call after 2 years at sea. Many who have been frugal, managed well and are not drowning in a sea of credit are left to bail out those who threw caution to the wind and spent theirs and other’s resources. That said, we are all still collectively in a mess!
On a high wire the goal is to know what is below, balance yourself while walking steadfastly toward the goal and pray that you do not fall off on either side. Economically we have the same objective. If we fall of on one side of this financial high wire the result is a severe and probably prolonged depression. If we fall of on the other side the result is runaway inflation. The trick is to navigate between the two. Big challenge! The struggle today is whether or not to let the free market system work through these problems, taking the scrapes, broken bones, black eyes and blood shed necessary to wind our way through them or to “stimulate” the economy by throwing massive amounts of money at it…..can you say trillions without fainting? The first attempt was to release $350 billion which was gobbled up quickly and hoarded…..no help. Now we are debating whether or not to keep afloat three car makers who probably make pretty good cars but are so bloated with the spoils of union thuggery and corporate acquiesance that they lose $1000 every time they sell a car. Their structure and game plan hasn’t changed since the time when our nation bought 17 million cars a year not the 10 million, and declining, purchased in the US today. And we have yet to deal with credit card debt, declining business growth and other debt hiding in the weeds.
Where does this money come from? Not from bond sales. The current short term rate of return on government debt is zippo, that would be “no percent”. The money comes from the government printing presses….where their black and green ink combine to cause red ink to wash over our national, corporate and personal books. At the other end of this massive printing process, assuming it works and we do not fall into a 1929 depression or worse, is massive inflation. That’s not pretty either. Inflation causes money to decline in purchasing power, the greater the rate, the faster the speed of decline.
How do we protect ourselves against this dual headed dragon? De-leveraging is taking place in our economy at a rapid rate. It is a good idea to mitigate personal financial risk by reducing our own personal leverage or debt. It is also a good idea to accumulate some cash. Historically, precious metals have been a pretty good capital preservation tool under inflationary times when the value of paper or fiat currency is declining, so that might be something to also consider. But don’t forget the misconnected guy ropes that caused the death of Karl Wallenda in San Juan. WIthout the moorings provided by integrity, frugality and faith none of the strategic or tactical solutions will work. Tough times have a tendency to make us see these values more clearly and want them more strongly.
I pray Wallenda’s fate in Puerto Rico in 1978 does not befall our nation. Rather I pray that we will be granted a reprieve to get our financial and spiritual houses in order and in so doing land successfully on the other side of this dangerous high wire walk.